The British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain became a kind of archetype of naivety when he proclaimed “peace in our time” with what was then the Greater German Reich – because time soon ran out. It appears the same has happened – sooner – in our time. The United States is back to bombing Iran; Trump says the Memorandum of Agreement signed just a few weeks ago is now “over.”
Well, it never really was.
The MOE was a victory for the Iranians. More specifically, it was an admission of defeat by the United States – which agreed to all of Iran’s terms. These included continued Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz, a fact Trump has tried to efface by talking up that the Strait is (well, was) open again. That part was true. It is also true that Iranians never agreed to surrender control over the Strait or cease charging a kind of toll for passage.
The big question now – one of them – at any rate – is whether Iran will resume attacks on Israel. Odds are it will – because not attacking Israel would be (from the Iranian point-of-view) something like the Russians not attacking NATO countries that continue to aid and abet the regime in Keeeeeeeeeeeeeeev. It is remarkable that – so far – the Russians have abstained from leveling NATO headquarters in Brussels. How much longer they will abstain remains to be seen. Same goes for the Iranians. After all, it is not primarily the United States that is the enemy of Iran. The United States is merely a kind of lumbering Golem acting on behalf of Israel.
Trump says – about the Iranians – “I don’t want to deal with them anymore. They’re scum. They’re sick people. There’s something wrong with them. They’re cuckoo. As far as I’m concerned, it’s over.”
Well, same back at you say the Iranians – probably.
It was “cuckoo” to start this war in the first place as there was no good reason to start it. Having started it – and not won it – it is not surprising Trump doesn’t want to “deal with them anymore.” He never did want to deal – he wanted to dominate and destroy – and the Iranians know that, too. They are not, after all, stupid people. Trump no doubt assumed they were. He assumes everyone is. Because he considers everyone else a sucker. It is the art of his dealings.
Trump also assumed he could “regime change” them after a few days – perhaps a couple of weeks – of shock-and-awe bombardment. That assumption proved erroneous. It must be galling for Trump, who more than anything else cannot abide being seen as a loser.
Well, he is – because he has.
“Sick people”? Was it the Iranians who deliberately attacked (and double tapped) a girls’ school, killing more than 100 girls? That’s pretty actually sick by any sane measure. “There’s something wrong with them”? For not rolling over and accepting the attempted regime-changing of their country?
For hitting back?
Now the worry is what Trump will do next. The war is no more popular now than it was a couple of weeks ago. Americans are not interested in paying even $3 for a gallon of gas for the sake of regime-changing Iran. Gas is apt to head back to $4 per gallon now – and possibly higher. Worse, a couple of weeks of peace has not been enough time to get the world’s supply of crude oil back to where it was – or even close. This is an important thing to understand because it is probably true that Trump paused the war a couple of weeks ago because it finally got through his thick skull that reserves – which were propping up the supply – were on the verge of running out. When they do, $4 per gallon gas will seem cheap. Assuming there is gas available to buy.
The Iranians know this also. It is the leverage they have over Trump. They can gimp the world economy and by doing that, gimp Trump. So what will Trump do about it? What can he do about it?
Will more shock and awe work? It hasn’t so far. What makes anyone think it will work again? Bombing Harder has become something like Voting Harder. This leaves Trump in a No Way Out situation. Unless he accepts Iranian control over the Strait, which is about as likely as Trump accepting that his hair is no longer golden blonde.
The only thing I can see that would change the paradigm would be a “new Pearl Harbor,” in the words of the Partnership for a New American Century, which was really all about a new Israeli century. Is it time to pin the tail on the Iranian donkey? To summon War Fever that isn’t exactly roiling right now? It worked on that September morning a quarter century ago.
We may soon see whether it will work again, in our time.
. . .
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I have to disagree with the swipe at Neville Chamberlain. I think he’s gotten an extremely raw deal from postwar historians.
Contrary to popular myth, Chamberlain was not some pusillanimous liberal weenie who didn’t have the balls to stand up to Hitler. He absolutely did the right thing at Munich in 1938.
What really happened at Munich in 1938 was that the Versailles farce finally collapsed. The Treaty of Versailles created “ethnic self-determination” for Czechs, Poles, and “Jugo-Slavs.”
But not for Germans.
The Treaty, and the sovereignty of the nations created by it, was supposed to be enforced by the League of Nations. Since the U.S. declined to join, the de facto enforcement arm of the “League” was the British Empire.
Not only was it farcical to think that Britain would defend German sovereignty, it was equally farcical to assume that Britain would — or could — defend Czechoslovakia deep in the heart of Europe with not troops or bases there. And it was purely hypocritical to stand for Czech self-determination, but not self-determination for the millions of Sudetendeutsch.
Hitler called this bluff — and rightfully won.
Chamberlain did the right thing at Munich. People today do not appreciate that only 20 years before, his country and lost 750,000 men KIA out of a population of only 45 million, in a war on foreign soil that had nothing to do with the territorial integrity of Britain itself.
No sane politician would want a second war with Germany only two decades later over some bullshit in Czechoslovakia.
Churchill, of course, DID want a second war… but maybe Mr. Gallipoli was not as sane as his legend says he was.
‘What will Trump do about it? What can he do about it?’ — eric
‘Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Iran’s top negotiator and the speaker of its Parliament, on Wednesday accused the United States of major violations of the MOU.
‘In a post on social media, he said the violations included reinstatement of oil sanctions, U.S. strikes on southern Iran and Israel’s continued aggression in Lebanon. “The era of bullying and extortion is over. It leads nowhere. We don’t fold,” he wrote.’ — NYT
Once again, it is shown that the US is not agreement-capable. Nor is the Trump entity.
Eric speaks of the new Israel century, announced by neocon traitors ‘William Kristol’ and ‘Robert Kagan’ in 1997 under the false pretense of benefiting America, when in fact at least $10 trillion of our crushing $40 trillion debt owes to the ensuing quarter century of deranged windmill tilts in the middle eastern snakepit.
Only in retrospect will historians recognize that the US crossed a Rubicon by sending US troops to Israel as it began its genocide of Gaza in October 2023. Troop numbers were radically hiked in February 2026, as the US went whole hog defending Israel after its unilateral attack on Iran — despite the absence of any defense treaty: Israel is not our ally.
Now Israeli agents have subverted Clowngress into merging major functions of the two countries’ military and intel ops. In a video posted on Lew Rockwell’s site today, Tucker Carlson interviews former Rep. Dennis Kucinich about this gross treason.
Fact is, little Shitrahell is unlikely to survive this century. Zionism’s fundamental premise of ‘a land without people for a people without land’ was a Big Lie. Jews might actually have believed it because they regard the rest of humanity as cattle, not people. But this is their apartheid colony’s swan song, before China shoves the Israeli-hijacked, dying US empire aside.
Three generations of ruling the freaking world after WW II cooked our goose. This made sense to raging yankee egotists like the Trump entity, who regarded themselves as divinely entitled to rule, with their perfidious Hofjuden whispering in their ear. Now Israel’s betrayal snaps shut like a leg-hold trap on a cornered America. 🙁
I’m sure the MAGA monkeys are deliriously happy!
They were ridin’ high last Saturday, with them big yankee flags wavin’ from their pickup beds. Now Trumpstein just cut their nuts off.